Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 102.545458 118.450638 137.424074 162.150521 194.188159 235.299301 2.938347e+02
2024-10-13 78.892265 96.571378 119.721119 153.465734 203.739652 280.450863 4.177724e+02
2024-10-20 69.017364 88.047633 114.731274 157.185660 228.353732 356.022278 6.487061e+02
2024-10-27 60.712131 79.593811 107.319921 154.248183 240.208288 416.303933 9.267509e+02
2024-11-03 57.502283 77.635265 108.737038 165.241145 280.488437 562.089356 1.747395e+03
2024-11-10 57.134321 79.701294 116.630609 189.623805 360.458863 899.596274 5.713450e+03
2024-11-17 52.941347 75.081752 112.402507 189.572151 384.912216 1111.995078 1.495876e+04
2024-11-24 49.094187 70.529329 107.516397 186.838590 401.367730 1331.822424 6.180910e+04
2024-12-01 45.680649 66.318405 102.620781 182.894167 412.859074 1566.057116 5.159029e+06
2024-12-08 43.188711 63.413979 99.741318 182.838695 437.156125 1969.282091 NaN
2024-12-15 41.066408 60.936835 97.334049 183.340888 464.480672 2543.324752 NaN
2024-12-22 38.526455 57.504762 92.652591 177.258550 464.725524 2892.527632 NaN
2024-12-29 37.249118 56.487414 93.201280 186.246306 540.014695 5264.060369 NaN
2025-01-05 34.370345 52.343183 86.920145 175.797462 524.787560 5979.884392 NaN
2025-01-12 33.034345 50.915976 86.118560 180.389310 588.263284 12025.276810 NaN
2025-01-19 31.227720 48.444302 82.764799 176.786055 607.127779 19657.384493 NaN
2025-01-26 30.777136 48.489507 84.880017 190.320195 749.523655 298558.799710 NaN
2025-02-02 31.226386 50.309110 91.291644 220.686950 1105.188299 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 29.949885 48.576267 89.119692 220.622132 1202.250313 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 28.626606 46.648494 86.249713 217.194418 1261.242831 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 27.346477 44.722235 83.181595 212.258650 1297.163021 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 26.386156 43.389813 81.449332 212.189323 1409.484903 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 25.528076 42.210746 79.975056 212.817031 1546.923323 NaN NaN